Monday, February 28, 2011

2G Scam : Life Cycle

Just as a butterfly, our Scams has a life cycle too. The lifecycle of a butterfly comprises of the following stages
egg -> larva-> pupa -> butterfly
Similarly, scams go through four stages as identified below;
Irregularities -> Revelations -> Cover up -> Damage Control



Lifecycle of the 2G scam lasted 3.5 years and one price the citizens paid is 39 months of hunger. The point of this post is to walk through the lifecycle, because, as you read this right now, there are several other scams in various stages of the lifecycle. How does one cut the lifecycle of them?

For the impatient : skip the referred content (italicised bullets)!
References :
  1. Violations, Timeline in 2G spectrum scam : J Gopikrishnan (Pioneer) 
  2. canarytrap.in
  3. The 2G Tapes (Outlook) 
Irregularities - Sowing the Seeds (May 2007 - Jan 2008)
  • # A Raja becomes Union Minister for Environment and Forests in May 2004 and shifts to Ministry of Communications and IT on May 16, 2007. Raja’s friendly real estate companies want to become telecom operators and he informs his decision to Telecom Secretary DS Mathur for granting new licenses and spectrum to new players. But Mathur objects and argues for transparent auction and competitive pricing (as recommended by TRAI from 2003 onwards). Raja wants to grant licenses as per First-Come-First-Serve method (in a peculiar way – who first pays license fee and not who first applied) and old pricing fixed in 2001. In 2001, there were only four million mobile subscribers and it crossed 350 million in mid 2007. So Manju Madhvan, Member (Finance) of DoT, Finance Ministry also pointed out new competitive prices. But all ignored by Raja and he sent the file to Law Ministry for opinion and started procedures.
May 2007 : Raja gets appointed as Minister of Communications in PM's cabinet after a hectic brokering by some journalists and power brokers (Youtube Link1 @ 8:20 onwards) &  (Barkha in Youtube Link2)
  • # On September 24, 2007 DoT issues a press release (released in the late evening and appeared in next day newspapers), citing the last date of application (cut-off date) fixing to October 1, 2007.
  • #Without Cabinet approval Raja allots Dual Policy or Cross Technology to Reliance Communications, Tata Teleservices and Shyam Telecom in October 2007 at a rate fixed in 2001. This technology allows CDMA operators to change to much wanted GSM Technology. CDMA operators were in bad shape and Raja’s decision became a boon to them. Here the corruption part is on allowing the much wanted GSM license at a six year old price. This move is Raja’s first major corruption in Telecom, which gave him courage to go ahead with 2G Spectrum allocation to new companies.
Sept 24, 2007 : 2G application cutoff set to Oct 1, 2007.

Oct 2007 : Raja tests the water with first major irregularity in DoT (Dual Policy or Cross Technology) and cleanly gets away with it. A template is now established.

Oct 2007 : Raja started moving the pieces for the 2G scam.
  • # On Nov 1, 2007, the Law Minister HR Bhardwaj rejects Raja’s plan and directs to constitute an Empowered Group of Ministers (eGoM) to form transparent procedures for 2G Spectrum allocation and new licenses.
  • # Next day on Nov 2, 2007, by 8pm Raja wrote a letter to Prime Minister, objecting on Bhardwaj’s direction. “Law Ministry is out of context,” wrote Raja. This letter was delivered to PM’s residence
  • # Within an hour (9pm), same day (Nov 2, 2007) – might be alerted by Bhardwaj- PM wrote to Raja to stop all procedures and directs him to get his concurrence in all future actions. This letter was delivered to Raja’s residence. Citing several wrong practices in the past, PM directs Raja to adopt transparent method by auction and new pricing.
It is obvious that the Prime Minister did not agree with the way DoT was handling the 2G spectrum allocation initially. While PM is not part of the irregularity, inaction and pussyfooting for 2 years implies he has contributed to the sorry state of affairs. While PM is the convenient face of the apathy of INC, who forced A. Raja into PM's cabinet?
  • # Strong resistance by Telecom Secretary DS Mathur and Manju Madhavan prevents Raja from moving ahead. For suggesting series of steps for auction, Raja snubs Manju Madhvan, in an internal note dated Dec 4, 2007 who took VRS soon.(she applied well earlier).  
  • # On Dec 31, 2007, DS Mathur retires. Raja brings his trusted man Siddarth Behura as new Telecom Secretary, who worked as an Addl. Secretary with him Ministry of Environment and Forests.
Dec 31, 2007 : Any semblance of resistance with the the DoT bureaucracy is now out of the way for Mr. Raja.
  • Within 10 days (Jan 10, 2008) at 2:45pm DoT uploads a press release saying that cut-off date was reversed from October 1, 2007 to September 25, 2007. The press release asked the new players to remit fee (huge money ranging from Rs.1500 cr- Rs.1600 cr) between 3:30pm -4:30pm on same day. It is a mystery that how Nine new companies made and remitted huge fee by demand draft within 45 minutes.
Jan 10, 2008 : DoT's press release comes out at 2:45PM. It mysteriously prepones the cutoff date to September 25th. And after the press release came out, interested parties had just 45minutes to 75 minutes to remit fee of Rs. 1,500Cr -Rs 1,600cr.
  • #Here is the conspiracy angle. All the nine company owners/brokers were had a meeting with Raja on Jan 9, 2008 at his residence. All were informed by Minister 24 hours before the issue of press release. The cut-off date was reversed to September 25, 2007, because of Raja’s favorite company Unitech applied on Sept 24. Another favourite company Shyam Telelink also applied on Sept 24.
It seems to be that the reason for preponing the cutoff date, was to narrow the number of beneficiaries. The choice of September 25th doesn't appear to be a mystery any more.
  • #On Jan 10, 2008, the CEOs Swan and Unitech (most favoured companies of Raja) sit at Private Secretary RK Chandolia’s cabin in Sanchar Bhavan. DDG Access Service (AK Srivastava) directs officials to go Chandolia’s cabin at 3pm. Chandolia asks official to collect application and demand draft from CEOs and directs to give No : 1 status to Swan and No : 2 status to Unitech. Then only counter was opened at eighth floor of Sanachar Bhavan to receive application/ fee from other seven companies. There was a mad rush to become first in the queue and physical fight taken place between rivals. Bouncers were brought. CEOs were quarreled each other some telecom officers were manhandled.. Though police arrived, no case was registered by instruction of Chandolia.
Jan 10, 2008 :Barely 15 minutes after the press release comes out, hand-picked companies are gifted the No.1 and No.2 status.

New Revelations and More Irregularities (Jan 2008 - Nov 2008)

While A. Raja manages to evade and sideline opposition in the DoT, other organizations and courts start taking notice. The Congress high command is still hiding behind coalition politics.
  • #TRAI Chairman Mr. Nripendra Misra’s letter to Telecom Secretary Siddharth Behura on January 14, 2008 – objecting the policy, reversal of cut-off date and manipulating his recommendations. Later in the media Misra described DoT had “cherry picked” his recommendations.
Jan 2008 : Within 4 days after the dramatic rigging of the process, TRAI comes against the blatant flouting of regulations.
  • #DoT allots spectrum/licenses (including additional spectrum to existing players to settle anger) on March/April 2008. All files were signed by Raja. Unitech applied licenses in different names - Unitech Infrastructure, Unitech Builders and Estates, Aska Projects, Nahan Properties, Hudson Properties, Volga Properties, Adonis Projects and Azare Properties.
March 2008 : Raja continues to treat national 2G spectrum like its his family inheritance.
  • # On Sept 13, 2008, Raja forces BSNL CMD Kuldip Goyal to enter into a un-precedented MoU with Swan, known as Intra-Circle Roaming Agreement. This MoU will help Swan to use all infrastructure (Towers, optical network etc) of BSNL. This MoU was executed just a week before, Swan’s Rs.4500 Cr deal (sale of 45 per cent shares) with Etisalat. Swan gives unsolicited application to BSNL. The BSNL management committee demands 52 paise/call from Swan. But this clause was absent in the MoU. Raja also transfers senior officials in WPC (Joint Wireless Adviser RJS Kushwaha and Deputy Wireless Adviser D Jha) for objecting Swan’s proposals to BSNL and DoT. 
Sept 2008 : The flood of irregularities continue under the coalition; Arm twisting organizations as big as BSNL and bulldozing any resistance in his path becomes a norm.

Oct-Nov 2008 : Stake in Swan and Unitech, largest benefactors of Mr. Raja's actions, are sold to other companies for 6 times the price paid to DoT. This resulted in total evaluation of 2G spectrum at Rs. 70,022 crore, while it was sold to the 9 pre-selected companies to Rs. 10,772 crore. An instant profit of around 60,000 for the 9 companies, most of which have little prior presence in Telecom.
  • # On Nov 4 2008, Swan informs DoT that - it allotted Rs.380Cr worth shares (9.9%) to a Chennai based newly floated company Genex Exim. This is believed to the kick back from Swan to Raja. Genex was incorporated on September 17, 2008,
Nov 2008 : The kickbacks seem to be making their way!

Cover ups (Nov 2008 - Nov 2010)

For two years subsequently, there have been consistent reports from various departments and courts. Any of these instances would have been a good time for the leader of coalition take stock and assess damage. But energy was invested in brushing aside the ample evidence and covering up the deeds.
  • Nov 2008 : Chief Vigilence Commission sends showcause notice to Raja and after further investigation, sends report to PM demanding Raja's prosecution
  • Nov 2008 : In a span of 1.5 years starting in Nov 2008, Dr. Subramanyam Swamy wrote to PM four times demanding sanction to prosecute Raja.
  • #On May 29, 2009 (48 hours after Raja sworn in again as Telecom Minister), Delhi High Court (Justice Mukul Mudgal and Justice Valmiki Mehta) on hearing the PIL against First-Come-First-Serve (FCFS) policy observed: “It is like selling cinema tickets. We find it very strange that public exchequer and valuable resources have been involved and misused in this way. We are completely astounded.”. The Delhi High Court in 1994 termed the FCFS policy as a barbarian and said not a suitable one to a democratic government
Even though there were consistent reports of irregularities from various sources, Raja is forced into PM's cabinet for a second term as Minister in charge of DoT. As the saying goes "Wolf is assigned to guard the henhouse", Again!

May 2009 : Delhi High Court provides the first setback to Raja, in what is seen as first slap in the face to the GoI
  • # July 1, 2009 – Justice GS Sistani of Delhi High Court quashed the DoT’s decision to reverse the cut-off date.
  • Oct 22, 2009 : CBI registers FIR against DoT and private companies for criminal conspiracy and loss to exchequer
  • (March 2010) # DoT approaches Supreme Court through SLP to quash the HC verdicts. Janata Party President Subramanian Swamy impleads into the case. Sensing danger, Raja wanted the STel to withdraw from the case. On March 5, 2010, Friday evening after office hours, DoT issues an order asking STel to close its operation in three states, citing security reasons. There was no show cause was issued to STel and later Home Ministry revealed that they never raised any sort of security concern. Arm twisted STel surrendered before Raja on March 8, 2010 on Monday and declared that they have no troubles with DoT policy. Vahanvati produced STel’s surrender letter to Supreme Court, which was rejected and directed the company to file an affidavit. Due to Subramanian Swamy’s presence, Raja’s design failed and court said that thy will not interfere into the HC order declaring the change of cut off date as illegal.
March 2010 : DoT (under Raja) moves to Supreme Court and start softening the litigants, so as to avoid the repeat of the setback witnessed in High Court. DoT punishes the litigant, "STel" for its role in court proceedings. STel incidentally was a beneficiary of the Raja's rigging process. However, STel was unhappy with change of cut-off-date, as it meant they only got spectrum in 3 circles. In the end, forced to surrender, STel withdraws its objections.

March 2010 : Janata Dal's Sumbramanyam Swamy impleads into the case. And it is too late for Raja as Supreme court takes active interest in the case by now.
  • March 19, 2010 : Department of Personnel of the GoI, wrote to Subramanyam Swami the following "would be premature to consider sanction for prosecution at this stage".
April 12, 2010 : After his repeated requests to prosecute Raja were rebuffed by the Department of Personnel, Subramanyam Swami files a writ petition in Delhi High Court.

April 28 2010 : Pioneer publishes a report about tapped conversations and becomes the first to connect these conversations to A. Raja and 2G telecom scandal

April 28, 2010 : Details of tapes establishing roles of Nira Radia and Raja in the 2G scam are published by J Gopikrishnana of Pioneer. Even after a potentially explosive expose, there was still an eerie calm in the in the media reporting and it ends out being just a ripple.

May 1 2010 : In Pioneer's editorial (All lines on this route are blocked), Chandan Mitra comments on intransigent Government in light of overwhelming evidence against A. Raja.

Apirl 9, 2010 - May 19, 2010 : 3G auctions yield around Rs 67,719 crore. CAG launches probe in 2G spectrum allocation.

September 2010 : Not much progress is made by CBI and ED until the Supreme Court intervenes in September 2010 on the PIL filed by Prashant Bhushan.

Nov 9 2010 : Parliament comes to a grinding halt with the opposition demanding action on all involved in the 2G scam.

Nov 14, 2010 : Raja is forced to resign in face of unrelenting opposition

Nov 15, 2010 : Kapil Sibal replaces A. Raja as Minister for communications and information technology.

Nov 16, 2010 : CAG estimates loss to exchequer from undervalued sale at Rs 1.76 Lakh crore.

Damage Control (Nov 2010-current)

Throughout these stages of the Scam's life cycle, conspicuous by their absence for the most part are, the so called "major national media outlets". Only exceptions are Pioneer and Outlook among the few. While the "major national media outlets" downplayed the magnitude of the incident, the expose gathers momentum of its own, thanks to Internet.

Nov 20 2010 : OPEN magazine publishes other tapes of Nira Radia conversations with politicians (A. Raja), journalists (Barkha Dutt & Vir Sanghvi) and corporate houses, laying bare the brokering that has been going on under the table, part of which was to give A. Raja the cabinet berth.

Nov 29, 2010 : Outlook published report "All lines are busy" putting the spotlight again on the tapped conversations.

In spite of ample evidence and parliament reaching a standstill for 3 months, GoI and Congress High Command drag their feet on launching a wide-ranged investigative committee until Feb 2011.

Dec 8, 2010 : CBI raids homes of A. Raja and other officials

Jan 7, 2011 : Kapil Sibal, the new minister replacing A. Raja, criticizes CAG for its report. Calls the report "utterly erroneous" and claims "The loss is Zero, nil,". Come to think of it, this needs to go into the "delusions" section, not "damage control" section

Jan 21, 2011 : Supreme Court terms the Kapil Sibal's remark as "unfortunate"

Feb 2, 2011 : Raja and other officials are arrested

Feb 16, 2010 : PM addresses a press conference as part of damage control exercise, but ends up further undermining the feeble stature of GoI in eyes of the public (more in later post)

Over and out!

Sunday, February 20, 2011

Is Rome really burning?

 
Scams (Theft of resources : 2008-2010)  
 
(1) 2G Spectrum scam (2010) -
wiki link
  • The 2G spectrum scam involved officials and ministers in the Government of India illegally undercharging mobile telephony companies for frequency allocation licenses. According to a report submitted by the Comptroller and Auditor General based son money collected from 3G licenses, the loss to the exchequer was 1,76,379 crore (US$38.27 billion).
(2) Adarsh Housing Society Scam (2010) -
 wiki link
  • In 2010, the Indian media brought to public the violations of rules at various phases of construction in the Adarsh Society. Questions were raised on the manner in which apartments in the building were allocated to bureaucrats, politicians and army personnel who had nothing to do with Kargil War and the way in which clearances were obtained for the construction of the building of the Adarsh Society. It had led to resignation of the then Chief Minister,Shri Asokh Chavan.
Times of India news
  • Each of the 103 members, some of them private individuals like the relatives of politicians and bureaucrats, will have to pay just Rs 60 lakh to Rs 85 lakh for their apartments in the sea-facing skyscraper. That's barely 10% of the going rate in the area.
  • An average two- to three-bedroom-hall-kitchen (BKH) apartment could cost between Rs 6 crore and Rs 8.5 crore in this area," said a leading real estate consultant.
While the exact extent of the robbery is unknown, it could be as high as Rs. 800 crore for 103 allotments.
(3) Commonwealth Games scam (2010)
Snippets from a Express India article
  • The Central Vigilance Commission, involved in probing the alleged corruption in various Commonwealth Games-related projects, has found discrepancies in tenders and alleged misappropriation amounting to about Rs 8,000 crore.
Snippets from wiki link are highlighted below
  • Among the alleged corruption and defrauding of the games budget, toilet paper rolls valued at $2 were costed at $80, $2 soap dispensers at $60, $98 mirrors at $220, $11,830 altitude training simulators at $250,190.
(4) ISRO Spectrum scam (2011)

Snippet from Tehelka news report.
  • According to preliminary CAG estimates, the spectrum largesse to a private customer could have caused the exchequer a loss in excess of Rs 2 lakh crore. According to the contract with Devas, Antrix would have earned Rs 50 crore a year per satellite for 12 years. By comparison, the presumptive loss incurred in the allocation of 2G spectrum by the DoT, as estimated by the CAG, is Rs 1.76 lakh crore

What does it really mean?
  • Total expected loss of income to Government (excluding ISRO scam) : 1,85 Lakh
  • Total expected loss of income to Government (including ISRO scam)  : 3,85 Lakh crore
Admittedly, the ISRO scam was brought up by media at correct time to stop it. But no credit to the GoI for the process, so it is included in the metrics as well.

To provide a picture of the magnitude of (projected) loss, here are various ways to look at this loss of 3,85 Lakh crore with respect to the budget of 2010-2011 (Link to Union budget 2010-2011 sumary).
  • Would have fed every family below poverty line for 88 months ( more than 7 years)
  • The budget deficit  : 3,81,408 crore. (Could have been wiped clean)
  • Defense allocation  :  1,47,344 crore. (Could have been doubled to make India a power house of defense research)
  • Social service allocation : 1,27,570 crore
  • Rural development allocation : 55,190 crore
  • Science and Technology Allocation : 13,677 crore. (Increasing this could do wonders for the future of Indian scientific research, hence laying groundwork for a technological powerhouse.)
  • Youth affairs and sports : 2,844 crore (Could have been increased to invest more on training the youth towards manufacturing and other high-yielding professions)
So, is the above identified theft of resources really a big deal? Is it akin to "Rome is burning"?

What do you think?

Friday, February 11, 2011

2G Scam : The Sponge Factor - 97.3

Sponge Factor

For those unfamiliar with the term "The Sponge Factor", click the link for my previous post. While the previous post discusses corruption in Government spending, the same could be applied to Government income.

Government Income
Summary of Government income in 2G auction (from Wiki ) :
  • Swan Telecom, a new company with few assets, bought a license for 1,537 crore and sold 45% of the company to Etisalat for 4,200 crore (Total valuation of Rs 9,333 crore).
  • A company formerly invested in real estate and not telecom, the Unitech Group, purchased a license for 1,661 crore and 60% of the stake was sold for 6,200 crore (Total valuation of 10,333 crore)
  • All nine companies paid DoT a total of Rs. 10,772 crore for 2G licences
  • Projected loss of income to DoT is Rs. 1.75 Lakh crore for 2G licences
Prospective income to GoI from the 2G auction      : 1.85 Lakh crore
Actual income to GoI from the 2G auction              : 0.10 Lakh crore
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Income absorbed by Corruption (Sponge Effect)    : 1.75 Lakh crore
--------------------------------------------------------------------



Sponge Factor (income ) = Income stolen / Total prospective Income
                                      = 1.75 Lakh crore / 1.85 Lakh crore
                                      = 94.6

In other words, out of Rs 100 that should have gone to GoI's purse, Rs. 94.6 made its way to A. Raja and his group's purse. In the end, only Rs. 5.4 made it to GoI's purse.

But that is only one half of the story.

Overall Sponge Factor

The second half of the story is about how much of the money in GoI's purse is reaching the downtrodden.

Lets consider just the income from 2G :


Actual income to available at GoI's disposal             :    10,772 crore
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Misused funds from expenditure (Sponge factor 50) :      5,386 crore
Income lost Corruption (from earlier section)            : 1.75 Lakh crore
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Total income absorbed by Corruption                     : 1.80 Lakh crore



Sponge Factor (overall) = Income stolen / Total prospective Income
                                      = 1.8 Lakh crore / 1.85 Lakh crore
                                      = 97.3

In other words, out of prospective income of Rs. 100, Rs. 97.3 is eated by the rodent-infested system, and only Rs. 2.7 is likely to be actually spent on the downtrodden.

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

2G Scam : 39 months of hunger

How do you know we are in 21st century? How about when your fingers are not enough to count the digits of swindled Rupees!

Lets take a look at the recent champion : 2G scam. The reports in media nonchalantly talk about "Lakhs of crores" and "Millions of Millions". Does the common man, or for that matter anybody, really understand what those figures exactly means to each of us?

Here is one breakdown.

  • The official tally of the money swindled from what could otherwise have been Government income, is 1,70,000 Crores. Or to put it in full, Rs 1,70,000,00,00,000.
  • Thats correct, it has thirteen digits.
  • Population of India is 115 Crores and there are two estimates for poverty numbers in India.
  • Going with Government of India's (GoI) estimates : 27.5% of the population lives below poverty line, meaning 32 crores of Indians are considered poor on paper. (Wiki Link)
  • Assuming a family of 4, 8 crore families are officially categorized as poor by the GoI.
  • If the 2G scam never happened, and if we had an ideal distribution system (Refer to Sponge Factor for views on distribution system), and lets say GoI decided to spend all the money on distribution of rice.
  • It would mean that each "poor family" can have an allocation of Rs. 21,502.
  • Estimates indicate that it costs Govt. approximately Rs. 18.5 to buy 1Kg of BPL/ration rice from the farmers. (Link)
  • At this rate, Government could have procured 1,162Kg of rice for each family below poverty line.
  • If Government decided to distribute the rice completely free of charge, then at consumption of 1K/day, each poor family could have survived for 1162 days or 39 months or more than 3 years.


So, what is the price of 2G scam to the nation?

Not going into technicalities of what is the best way to relieve poverty, I am just using the oft-used simplistic notion to shed light on the magnitude of theft at highest levels.